With some political forecasters crowing or eating crow this morning, I would like to point out that I predicted an Obama victory back in January.
Yes, January. When we didn’t have a clue who the GOP challenger would be.
I made this prediction, the way I make all of my predictions, using my Magic 8- Ball. Click here to read my Jan. 1 column in The Sunday Wall Street Journal. I also talked about it in this December 2011 video.
I posed the question multiple times, and the 8-Ball insisted President Obama would win relelection.
Here’s more or less how it went, as you can see in the link posted above:
Q: Can President Obama be re-elected in this mess? A: “It is decidedly so.” Q: Really? A: “You may rely on it.” Q: Because his challengers inspire even less confidence? A: “Without a doubt.”
This is remarkable considering the bromide that no president wins with the kind of unemployment we’ve seen, or the conventional wisdom that, “It’s the economy, stupid.” It even went against my own gut feeling that Mr. Obama didn’t really deserve another term.
This election brought us a choice between the party that was in charge of the White House when the economy collapsed, and the party that has so far failed to fix it. The 8-Ball wisely saw that this wasn’t really a choice.
There are less than two months left in the year for some of my other Magic 8-Ball predictions to come true.
It has been far more accurate than Karl Rove. Click here to read a story and see a video of Mr. Rove battling denial on Fox News last night. I am thinking of buying him an 8-Ball.
The good news for Republicans is that this is not the end of the world. In fact, the 8-Ball predicts the world will not end on Dec. 21, as predicted by the ancient Maya.