Ben Bernanke

Fed Needs To Factor Breaking News Into Post-Meeting Statements

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on March 15, 2011
Central Banks, Economy, Federal Reserve, Japan, United States, Wall Street, Washington / Comments Off

The Federal Reserve has a committee studying how to improve communications with the public. But change was not in evidence in the latest statement issued today following the rate-setting meeting of the central bank.

In a bid to be more open with investors and the general public, the Fed should adopt a less stilted post-meeting announcement of its rate decision. Sure, each word the Fed utters must be carefully chosen because each word will be subject to over-the-top analysis by market types and analysts. But still, the Fed should indicate it doesn’t live in a cave.

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Bernanke Takes On The Press And Wins Hands Down

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on February 03, 2011
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The incongruity wasn’t lost on the Federal Reserve chairman or the crowd.

“But before asking the last question, a couple of very important matters to take care of,” intoned the moderator at Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke’s rare press conference today in Washington at the National Press Club. “Want to remind our members and guests of future speakers. Harry Shearer, the comedian and humorist, a voice of ‘The Simpsons,’ will discuss media myths on March 14.

“And we might even try to get him to do a few voices for us,” the moderator added, according to a transcript.

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Greenspan Says There’s Something (Good) Happening Here

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on January 07, 2011
Central Banks, Economy, Employment, United States, Washington / Comments Off

“Something happened in mid-December.”

It sounds like the subtitle for a horror movie. In fact, it was a crucial quote in a rather bullish economic forecast delivered today by a former Federal Reserve chairman.

While the current chairman of the U.S. central bank, Ben Bernanke, talked to senators at a hearing and was even-handed in his outlook for the economy and offered no real surprises, his predecessor, Alan Greenspan, adopted the role of U.S. stock market bull.

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Good Idea – Bernanke Meets The Press

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on January 05, 2011
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Mark your calendar. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke will take questions from reporters in Washington on Feb. 3.

When the subject of a possible Bernanke press conferences was first raised – when minutes of an Oct. 15 Fed video conference were released – we applauded. We applaud even more now that it’s been decided that a press conference with teh Fed chairman will actually take place.

The best way for the Fed to counter the notion of critics that it’s an opaque institution with enormous power somehow out of synch in a democracy is to allow as much public exposure as possible.

Bernanke has shown himself adept in a variety of public settings. Look for him to steadfastly defend the Fed’s decision to embark on a $600 billion Treasury bond buying escapade to supplement the stimulative effect of two years of zero short-term interest rates.

In the October video conference, Fed officials discussed the possibility of occasional Bernanke press conferences. We think the more the merrier.

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As We Measure The Spunky Economy, Money Supply Is Back

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on January 04, 2011
Central Banks, Economy, Federal Reserve, Government, U.S. Treasurys, United States, Wall Street, Washington / Comments Off

Watch the money supply.

That much-neglected-in-recent-years indicator of economic activity might come at least temporarily back into vogue as a way to gauge what the Federal Reserve thinks of the pace of progress of the U.S. economy.

That’s a bit of tea leaf reading from the minutes of the Dec. 14 meeting of the Federal Reserve’s policy setting Open Market Committee, released today after the usual lag. Before we delve further and broaden out the concept above with a quote from the minutes, we’ll make this assertion:

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A Jobless Rate Tough To Crack Even With Expansion

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on December 14, 2010
Central Banks, Economy, Federal Reserve, U.S. Dollar, U.S. Treasurys, Wall Street, Washington / Comments Off

All we need are jobs.

The U.S. economy, as described by the U.S. Federal Reserve and based on incoming data such as mildly encouraging holiday shopping to date, is doing all right. There is growth. The haves (those with jobs) are a bit more confident they will stay employed and are therefore spending more.

The have nots without jobs remain in too high numbers.

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This Time Fed Gets A Jab From The Left

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on December 07, 2010
Central Banks, Credit Crisis, Federal Reserve, Government, United States, Washington / Comments Off

This time, the jab at the Federal Reserve comes from the Congressional left.

So it goes these days for the U.S. central bank, which, as we have noted, finds itself more centrally located in the political maelstrom than at any time in the past two decades.

For weeks, conservative Congressional Republicans, unhappy with the Fed’s plan to stimulate the economy by buying $600 billion of U.S. Treasurys, have been firing away. Now, the Senate’s lone socialist. Sen. Bernie Sanders, a Vermont independent, takes a turn.

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Good, If Gloomy, Show By Bernanke

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on December 06, 2010
Central Banks, Congress, Economy, Federal Reserve, Government, Politics, U.S. Treasurys, United States, Washington / Comments Off

Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke made clear he is ready for prime time.

In a presumed effort to counter critics of the U.S. central bank’s $600 billion Treasury bond buying plan to spur the economy, Bernanke took to the airwaves via a Sunday broadcast interview on the popular CBS news program 60 Minutes. Fed chairmen of an earlier generation would be shocked at the straight forwardness of it all, though leaders like to talk on television because they feel they can get their points more directly across.

Bernanke didn’t break any big news on 60 minutes, but that wasn’t the point.

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Another Great Idea: Press Conferences By Bernanke

Posted by Neal Lipschutz on November 24, 2010
Central Banks, Congress, Economy, Federal Reserve, Media, United States, Washington / Comments Off

In a development that might seem mundane, but would have been unimaginable not all that long ago, the Federal Reserve talked about the chairman hosting press conferences.

The once secretive central bank has come to this, the possibility that Chairman Ben Bernanke would expose himself to the hurly burly of questions from members of the media.  It was in the working life of this columnist that even changes in Federal Reserve monetary policy weren’t publicly announced. They were divined from market activity.

If Bernanke press conferences became a reality, some questions would be pointed. Some would be uninformed. The answers likely would stay obscure to most citizens.

Still, it’s a great idea.

There’s no guarantee the Fed will get there. In meeting minutes released Tuesday, the topic of press briefings was referenced. The subject was addressed in a video conference of Fed policy makers on Oct. 15.

All the minutes say is this: “Participants discussed whether it might be useful for the Chairman to hold occasional presss briefings to provide more detailed information to the public regarding the Committee’s assessment of the outlook and its policy decisionmaking than is included in (the) Committee’s short post-meeting statements.”

The Committeee is the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

This special Oct. 15 video conference was described in a phrase that would make any corporate bureaucrat proud. There was no chance for that meeting to fail to accomplish. Communications issues and the pros and cons of setting a target for a term interest rate were discussed. The quote is this: “The agenda did not contemplate any policy decisions and none were taken.”

Back to the press conference idea. They should be more frequent than simply occasional, the theoretical time frame mentioned in the minutes. The Fed is a mystery to most people. Some think such economic power in the hands of independent and unelected officials is out of step with democratic institutions. Bernanke press conferences would help demystify the Fed and make it more democratic.

Like it or not, The Fed and its policies already are fodder in the political arena. The latest bond-buying plan to stimulate the economy earned the ire of a number of Republican lawmakers. In the run-up to new financial services regulation, a Democrat-controlled Congress mulled clipping the Fed’s regulatory wings and threatened its monetary policy independence. Nothing ultimaately happened there (the Fed got increased regulatory powers).

But clearly, there have been politics surrounding the Fed on both sides of the aisle.

Press conferences could help by increasing the Fed’s standing with the public, or some interested portion of it. If you wind up in Rome, do as the Romans do. Find a lectern and state your case. Take on the questions and defend your positions. Get your sound bites distributed far and wide.

Bernanke and his like-minded colleagues have mounted a decent defense of the $600 billion Treasury securities buying plan through public appearances and in speech texts. Adding press conferences makes sense as a next step.

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Politics About Fed Can’t Turn To Influence On Policy

The U.S. Treasury Secretary got his tense wrong.

“It is very important to keep politics out of monetary policy,” said Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner on Friday, in a Bloomberg television interview.

Really, he should have said it would have been nice to have kept politics out of monetary policy. They are in, big time. Politics and the Federal Reserve may have traditionallly enjoyed an arms’-length relationship, but they were never completely separate. Now they are in a bear hug.

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