Bailout

The Banks Still Don’t Get It…

Posted by Rick Stine on March 29, 2010
Banks, Credit Crisis, Wall Street, Washington / 1 Comment

It’s all about the risk, stupid.

You want to grab these bank executives around the shoulders and shake some sense into them, especially after reading about their latest efforts to hold off any reform aimed to prevent another financial crisis like the one we just went through.

Today’s WSJ has an article that explores the different moves here and overseas to tax banks. The idea is to raise money that can be used to bail them out in the future, rather than use taxpayer money to do so, if any crisis comes upon us.

Predictably, the banks are crying foul. A trade group cautions the wisdom of a tax because it would remove capital from the banking system – capital that then couldn’t be lent.

Continue reading…

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

‘I Want My Money Back!’

Posted by Gren Manuel on March 16, 2010
Advertising, Consumer Finance, Mortgages / Comments Off
The U.K.’s biggest mortgage lender is wanting its money back.
Certainly that’s one possible message of the ads that appeared in the U.K. papers this morning from Lloyds TSB, a unit of Lloyds banking Group PLC, which has about a quarter of the U.K. mortgages on its books.
Lloyds is advertising that “Now’s a great time to reduce how much you owe on your mortgage” because of low interest rates. To help nudge homebuyers along it’s doubling the size of mortgage overpayments that can be made without incurring penalties on variable rate mortgages.
This is certainly a reversal of message. A mortgage lender advertising the benefits of early repayment is a like a toothpaste maker advertising the benefits of plaque.
And the timing is curious. Almost exactly one year ago, Lloyds pledged as part of a government bailout package to increase gross lending to homebuyers by GBP3 billion in the following 12 months. The government was holding the bank’s arm behind its back to force it to increase lending amid fears that a shortage of mortgage finance would create a downward spiral in housing prices.
Well, fast-forward to today and Lloyds has pretty much lent the GBP3 billion as promised. So is it now trying to shrink its balance sheet and suck at least some of that GBP3 billion back in, which may be within the rules but is hardly within the spirit of the bailout?
Lloyds bristles at the suggestion. A spokeswoman said that “To be clear, this is not about reducing our balance sheet but about providing the right advice to customers”, adding that “It would be wildly misleading to present this in any other way.”
For sure, with interest rates low plenty of homeowners are repaying early. A good proportion of U.K. home loans are at variable rates and repayments have fallen – Lloyds reckons that mortgage payments at the end of last year represented 32% of homeowners’ post-tax earnings , a big drop from the 47% at the end of 2008. Lloyds’ own survey indicates that one in four homeowners is already paying their lender more than they need to.
But what if other lenders follow Lloyds’ lead? If overpayment of mortgages becomes widespread this will depress consumer spending. It’s an acceleration of the Great Deleveraging, which may be a good thing conceptually but in the short term will depress other consumer spending and could help enfeeble the U.K.’s weak economic recovery.
And while Lloyds says it’s not trying to shrink its mortgage book, if the U.K. does have a double-dip recession all that extra cash that homeowners have paid back could come in very handy.

lloydsad (3)

The U.K.’s biggest mortgage lender is wanting its money back.

Certainly that’s one possible message of the ads that appeared in the U.K. papers this morning from Lloyds TSB, a unit of Lloyds banking Group PLC, which has about a quarter of the U.K. mortgages on its books.

Lloyds is advertising that “Now’s a great time to reduce how much you owe on your mortgage” because of low interest rates. To help nudge homebuyers along it’s doubling the size of mortgage overpayments that can be made without incurring penalties on variable rate mortgages.

Continue reading…

Tags: , , , , , , ,

Fannie Mae: Is It Sustainable?

Posted by Rick Stine on February 26, 2010
Credit Crisis, Earnings, Housing, Mortgages / Comments Off

fannieHere’s a staggering statistic mentioned in Fannie Mae’s just released financial results – nearly 1 out of every four residential properties in the U.S. (24%) today has negative equity because the value of the homes are less than the mortgages against them. What that likely means is any rebound in housing prices will be slow at best. If homeowners with negative equity wal away from their obligations, forced home sales will tilt the supply-demand balance of homes in favor of supply, as in too much of it. Thus the continued pressure on housing prices.

And of course this isn’t good news for a company that holds a lot of these mortgages. Fannie Mae reported a 4Q loss of $16.3 billion, an improvement over the loss of $19.8 billion a year ago. Things are so bad at Fannie that it asked for an additional $15 billion from the Treasury just a few weeks ago. All of this comes on the same day that another government-owned company, AIG, posted staggering losses as well.

How bad is the outlook for Fannie? It says in its filing that it can’t be certain about its long-term sustainability (in other words, it may not be around.) And it says that the dividend payments it will have to start paying the Treasury for giving it money (via preferred stock investments) will be so large that the company will have to borrow from the Treasury to pay the Treasury those dividends. The question isn’t what the long-term sustainability of Fannie Mae is but how long can the Treasury sustain a situation like this.

Tags: , , , , , , , , , , ,

GMAC Writes Down More Mortgage Assets

gmacThe U.S. Treasury just pumped another $3.79 billion into GMAC Financial, the struggling finance company that is now majority owned by you and me. GMAC got itself into a financial pickle by getting too heavily involved in the mortgage business and in particular, the subprime mortgage business.

As part of the cash infusion today, the company also reclassified some mortgage assets it hopes to sell. And to pretty those assets up for sale, GMAC took additional write offs on some of those assets. But a rough, back-of-the-envelope calculation makes one wonder if these assets have been written down enough.

Continue reading…

Tags: , , , , , , , ,

Rss Feed Tweeter button Facebook button Technorati button Reddit button Myspace button Linkedin button Webonews button Delicious button Digg button Flickr button Stumbleupon button Newsvine button Youtube button