John Curran

Stocks Will Notice US Debt Predicament, Some Day

Posted by Steven Russolillo on March 23, 2010
Bonds, Dow Jones Industrials, Economy, Markets, S&P 500, Treasury Department / Comments Off
At some point this number will matter.

At some point this number will matter.

US stocks rising yet again, following yesterday’s gains, as President Obama signs new health-care legislation into law.

Positive reaction to the passing of the health bill is a bit perplexing, especially since many expected health care to act as a drag to the market’s yearlong rally.

But as we noted yesterday, it looks like there could be several benefactors from the legislation, ranging from hospital operators and pharmacy-benefit managers to drug and medical-device makers. And the final vote has added some much-needed closure to the situation, which seems to please investors.

But the ballooning federal budget deficit isn’t lost on some, and this $940 billion piece of legislation has Harvard economist Greg Mankiw worried about future implications:

In addition, I could not help but fear that the legislation will add to the fiscal burden we are leaving to future generations. Some economists (such as my Harvard colleague David Cutler) think there are great cost savings in the bill. I hope he is right, but I am skeptical. Some people say the Congressional Budget Office gave the legislation a clean bill of health regarding its fiscal impact. I believe that is completely wrong, for several reasons (click here, here, and here). My judgment is that this health bill adds significantly to our long-term fiscal problems.

Nevertheless, the stock market keeps puttering along. DJIA’s up 44 at 10830, while S&P 500′s up 2 to 1168.

“I don’t read this market rise as an endorsement of expanding federal indebtedness, but rather a vote of support for the functionality of government,” John Curran writes at Time’s Curious Capitalist blog.

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Highway To The Danger Zone

Posted by Steven Russolillo on February 05, 2010
Markets / Comments Off
We've got a long way to go.

We've got a long way to go.

US stocks riding a sinking ship without an end in sight, as a tepid jobs report combined with the soaring dollar and European debt concerns weighing on the market.

Stocks, as they have been the past three sessions, are tumbling through some support levels, and just crossed under another one. S&P 500 down 16 at 1047, having dropped through the 1050-1053, which UBS’ Art Cashin says represents another leg down in an Elliott Wave-type selloff.

“Violating that level could heighten probability that wave C has, in fact, begun,” he wrote in this morning’s daily commentary. On the one hand, wave C is the end of the progression; on the other hand, it’s an ugly and long end.

Dow Jones Industrial Average recently off 150 at 9851, hoovering near session lows and creeping closer to a 10% correction from the mid-January highs.

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